Rank: Advanced Member
Posts: 62
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In Take Stock, I can't make sense out of the average hi and low PE's used in your calculations. The first five years which were also the highest have been crossed off as outliers, aren't they supposed to be disregarded in arriving at the average high and low to be used later? For instance, the average low PE of 24.5 is higher than any individual year, and the average high PE is even further off the average of the last five years high PE. It makes the estimated high and low prices completely out of touch with reality.
Gene
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Rank: Advanced Member
Posts: 82
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Gene:
I can't seem to duplicate the problem. When I pull up WAG in SC Take $tock, I get the following on the TSSW:
WAG Data
Earnings
0.51
0.62
0.74
0.86
0.99
1.14
1.32
1.52
1.72
2.03
High Price
23.88
32.88
33.38
45.62
40.24
37.58
37.41
48
48.34
51
Low Price
12.81
19.19
22.75
31.06
30.98
27.35
29.83
35
39.8
40.1
High PE
46.7
53.5
45
53
40.8
33
28.4
31.6
28.2
25.1
Low PE
25.1
31.2
30.7
36.1
31.4
24
22.6
23.1
23.2
19.8
Forecast High, Low, and Average PEs
Avg half or majority of lowest HighPEs = FcstHighPE
29.3
Avg half or majority of the lowest Low PEs = FcstLowPE
22.5
Avg of the Forecast High and Low PEs = FcstAvg PE
25.9
I can't see the problem. How does this compare with what you see?
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Ellis Traub |
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